AdCapital (Germany) Performance

ADC Stock  EUR 1.09  0.10  8.40%   
The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.2, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning AdCapital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, AdCapital is likely to outperform the market. At this point, AdCapital AG has a negative expected return of -0.46%. Please make sure to confirm AdCapital's market risk adjusted performance, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and standard deviation , to decide if AdCapital AG performance from the past will be repeated at future time.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days AdCapital AG has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
Last Split Factor
6:5
Ex Dividend Date
2017-05-19
Last Split Date
1998-10-30
1
Stock Market Today Dow, SP 500, Nasdaq Fall After CPI Report Nvidia, Intel, JPMorgan, Alphabet - Barrons
01/13/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow4.5 M
Free Cash FlowM
  

AdCapital Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  146.00  in AdCapital AG on November 22, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (37.00) from holding AdCapital AG or give up 25.34% of portfolio value over 90 days. AdCapital AG is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 2.136% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 19% of traded stocks are less volatile than AdCapital, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon AdCapital is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.86 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.22 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of volatility.

AdCapital Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of AdCapital Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.09 90 days 1.09 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AdCapital to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This AdCapital AG probability density function shows the probability of AdCapital Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon AdCapital AG has a beta of -0.2. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AdCapital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AdCapital AG is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AdCapital AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   AdCapital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AdCapital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AdCapital AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.113.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.023.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.153.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.561.181.81
Details

AdCapital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AdCapital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AdCapital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AdCapital AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AdCapital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.2
σ
Overall volatility
0.12
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

AdCapital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AdCapital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AdCapital AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AdCapital AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
AdCapital AG has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
AdCapital AG has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 159 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 70.53 M.

AdCapital Fundamentals Growth

AdCapital Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of AdCapital, and AdCapital fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on AdCapital Stock performance.

About AdCapital Performance

By analyzing AdCapital's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into AdCapital's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if AdCapital has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if AdCapital has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
AdCapital AG, an industrial holding company, invests in electrical engineering, metal and plastics processing, machine and tool construction, and automotive businesses in Germany and internationally. AdCapital AG was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Waldbronn, Germany. ADCAPITAL operates under Asset Management classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 1414 people.

Things to note about AdCapital AG performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about AdCapital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for AdCapital AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AdCapital AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
AdCapital AG has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
AdCapital AG has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 159 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 70.53 M.
Evaluating AdCapital's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate AdCapital's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing AdCapital's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether AdCapital's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining AdCapital's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating AdCapital's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of AdCapital's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of AdCapital's stock. These opinions can provide insight into AdCapital's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating AdCapital's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact AdCapital's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running AdCapital's price analysis, check to measure AdCapital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AdCapital is operating at the current time. Most of AdCapital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AdCapital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AdCapital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AdCapital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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